Latest Webinar: The Role of Digital Wallets in Consumer Lending.   Watch on demand

AI Lenders Are Outpacing Banks on Originations. The Next Phase May Favor Banks.

Speed Built the Fintech Lending Boom. Trust May Define What Comes Next.

A PYMNTS Intelligence study, based on a survey of 515 senior executives and published in February 2026, documents a meaningful recalibration underway across the embedded finance sector. Trust in an embedded finance provider has overtaken speed and price as the most important factor in selecting a partner. For business-to-business companies in particular, the shift is pronounced. These organizations operate deeper in the financial stack, where compliance failures and data governance lapses carry real consequences for borrowers, counterparties and regulators alike.

The research identifies a convergence of pressures driving this shift. Integration costs have risen sharply as embedded finance programs have scaled. Compliance demands have multiplied. Regulatory expectations at both federal and state levels are tightening, with particular scrutiny anticipated for platforms providing embedded finance services to consumer-facing businesses. Against that backdrop, companies report that governance, transparency and operational reliability have displaced rapid deployment as the qualities they now seek from a technology partner.

Banks arrive at this moment with structural advantages they have not yet fully translated into origination performance. They hold regulatory credibility built over decades of supervised lending. They carry borrower data at a depth that alternative lenders cannot access through origination volume alone. They bear the balance sheet exposure that places credit quality, not origination count, at the center of long-term performance measurement.

The earnings disclosures from fintech lenders reinforce this point through their credit performance data. OppFi reported net charge-offs reaching 45 percent of revenue in the fourth quarter of 2025. Enova’s consumer segment posted a 16 percent charge-off rate. Upstart noted that its underwriting models now incorporate more than 100 million repayment events, an indicator of the sustained model refinement that AI-driven credit underwriting continues to require. PYMNTS noted in its analysis of the earnings results that the central question for the sector moves beyond scale, and that “durability will ultimately be determined by credit performance over time.”

That durability argument plays to the institutions historically on the losing side of the origination race. Nearly three-quarters of small-business owners currently bypass traditional banks to seek financing from alternative lenders, according to survey data cited by Enova. Among small-business owners who initially approached banks, 46 percent reported being denied credit. Those numbers reflect a technology gap as much as a credit policy gap, and they represent the origination opportunity that fintech platforms have built their growth around.

The embedded lending market is valued at approximately $9.25 billion in 2026 and is projected to reach $34.73 billion by 2033, according to Coherent Market Insights. That trajectory creates room for more than one competitive model to scale. Whether banks reclaim meaningful origination share in consumer and SMB lending will turn on whether they can deliver the digital-first borrower experience that the market now expects, while preserving the compliance discipline and institutional accountability that the market is beginning to treat as a premium rather than a baseline.

The window is real. So is the urgency.

LinkedIn
X
Facebook

Jifiti powers white-labeled lending solutions for leading banks and lenders.

Let’s talk Lending Tech

Hi, I'm Russell.